Stormers v Brumbies Super Rugby Preview

Out of the last six Super Rugby matches between the Cape Town based Stormers and the Canberra based Brumbies both teams have won three matches each.

Overall the Stormers have played the Brumbies 17 times in Super Rugby and the Stormers have won five matches and lost 11. There was also one draw in 2006.

That gives the Stormers a record of winning 29% of their matches against the Brumbies. The average score when the Stormers play the Brumbies is Stormers 19 Brumbies 23.

This weekend the match will be played at Newlands in Cape Town which is home for the Stormers and where the teams have met on 9 occasions.

In those 9 matches the Stormers have won four matches lost four and drawn one. This gives them a record of winning 44% of their home matches against the Brumbies – or due to the draw – not losing 55% of their matches.

The average score when the Stormers play the Brumbies in Cape Town is Stormers 21 Brumbies 21.

The Stormers earned home advantage for this match because they finished as the top South African team. They finished the regular season on 45 points while the Brumbies finished the season on 47 points.

While much has been said of the was SANZAR awards finals places the Stormers most likely wouldn’t have fielded a second string team last week against the Sharks if they had not already booked a home match. Had they fielded a stronger team they could have earned more points in the standings and finished higher than the Brumbies. We will never know what could have happened.

The Stormers finished the season in third place with 10 wins from 16 matches. At home they played 8 matches and won six or 75% of their home matches.

The Brumbies finished the season with 9 wins from sixteen matches (they earned the highest number of bonus points at 11 which is why they finished with more points than the Stormers). The Brumbies played 8 matches away from home and won four or 50% of their away matches.

The Brumbies have not won in Cape Town since 2010 and have lost their last two matches in the city.

In terms of selections the Stormers have brought back their stars after resting them last week. The line up is near enough to being their strongest line up without Duane Vermeulen who has a neck injury.

Juan de Jongh takes over the captaincy and partners Damian de Allende in the centres, with Nic Groom and Demetri Catrakilis partnering at halfback and the back three of Cheslin Kolbe, Dillyn Leyds and Seabelo Senatla reunited.

Up front, Nizaam Carr – the only starting survivor from Durban – will pack down at No.8 in a powerful and consistent forward pack, with hooker Scarra Ntubeni (calf muscle) passed fit to join the bench.

Ntubeni, props Ali Vermaak and Vincent Koch, lock Jean Kleyn and loose forward Michael Rhodes will serve as the forwards replacements, with Louis Schreuder, Kurt Coleman and Jaco Taute the backline replacements.

The Brumbies were well beaten last week at home by the Crusaders but they have retained the team for this week.

These teams have already met once this year and the Stormers won the match as Brumbies flyhalf Christian Lealliifano missed a conversion kick in front of the posts which would have given the Brumbies the victory but instead handed a 25-24 victory to the Stormers.

This match is expected to come down to how the Brumbies handle the Stormers scrum – albeit without Duane Vermeulen – and how the Stormers handle the Brumbies rolling maul. Expect plenty of penalties and the Stormers will have the benefit of a local South African set of match officials.

The Bookies have given the Brumbies a 5 point start for this Match – with an offer of a FREE $150 BET. The Stormers have home advantage and familiarity with the referee so they should edge this. The Stormers should win by 3.

This Match will be shown on TV in NZ, Aus, SA and in the UK on Sky Sports 4.

Average score: Stormers 19 Brumbies 23

Last six results
09 May 2015 Stormers v Brumbies 25-24 Cape Town
22 Mar 2014 Stormers v Brumbies 15-25 Canberra
23 Mar 2013 Stormers v Brumbies 35-22 Cape Town
28 May 2011 Stormers v Brumbies 16-3 Canberra
26 Feb 2010 Stormers v Brumbies 17-19 Cape Town
11 Apr 2009 Stormers v Brumbies 10-17 Canberra

Stormers overall record against the Brumbies
Played 17, Wins 5, Losses 11, Draws 1

Match No.122: Qualifier Stormers v Brumbies
Date : Saturday 20 June 2015
Venue : Newlands, Cape Town
Kick Off local: 17:05 local, 1:05* AEST, 3:05* NZST
Referee: Jaco Peyper
Assistant Ref 1:Craig Joubert
Assistant Ref 2:Jason Jaftha
TMO : Deon van Blommestein

Teams

Stormers

15. Cheslin Kolbe , 14. Dillyn Leyds , 13. Juan de Jongh (captain) , 12. Damian de Allende , 11. Seabelo Senatla , 10. Demetri Catrakilis , 9. Nic Groom , 8. Nizaam Carr , 7. Siya Kolisi , 6. Schalk Burger (vice-captain) , 5. Manuel Carizza , 4. Eben Etzebeth , 3. Frans Malherbe , 2. Bongi Mbonambi , 1. Steven Kitshoff

Replacements: 16. Scarra Ntubeni , 17. Ali Vermaak , 18. Vincent Koch , 19. Jean Kleyn , 20. Michael Rhodes , 21. Louis Schreuder , 22. Kurt Coleman , 23. Jaco Taute

Brumbies

1. Scott Sio , 2. Stephen Moore (c) , 3. Ben Alexander , 4. Rory Arnold , 5. Blake Enever , 6. Scott Fardy , 7. David Pocock , 8. Ita Vaea , 9. Nic White , 10. Christian Lealiifano , 11. Joe Tomane , 12. Robbie Coleman , 13. Tevita Kuridrani , 14. Henry Speight , 15. Jesse Mogg

Replacements : 16. Josh Mann-Rea , 17. Allan Alaalatoa , 18. Ruan Smith , 19. Jordan Smiler , 20. Jarrad Butler , 21. Michael Dowsett , 22. Matt Toomua , 23. James Dargaville , 24. Les Makin , 25. Nigel Ah Wong

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