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South Africa vs New Zealand TRC Rd.6 Preview


Aaron Smith of the All Blacks is tackled by JJ Engelbrecht

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Article Published: Thursday 3 October 2013


South Africa's Springboks need to beat the All Blacks and score four tries whilst also preventing their opponents from earning a bonus point to win the Rugby Championship title.

The Rugby Championship title will be decided in this match and New Zealand - who are the only unbeaten team in the tournament need just one bonus point to retain the title.

If the All Blacks lose the match but score four tries they will retain the Rugby Championship title. The same applies if the All Blacks draw the match or even lose the match and finish within seven points of the Springboks.

There is little chance that the All Blacks will go into this match with the goal of winning the tournament through a bonus point and they will be targeting another victory.

South Africa's Springboks have only lost one match so far this year and that was in Auckland when Bismarck du Plessis was red carded. They played most of the match with 14 players but the All Blacks finished the match with 13 players on the field.

The Springboks have played the All Blacks 86 times since 1921 and they have won 34 times and lost 49 times.

There have been three draws between the teams over the years but overall the Springboks have won 40% of their matches against the All Blacks.

The average score when the Springboks play the All Blacks across all venues is South Africa 15 New Zealand 19.

This weekend the match between the teams will be played in South Africa so the Springboks have home advantage.

The Springboks have had home advantage over the All Blacks 44 times and they have won 24 of those matches or 55% of the clashes.

Across all venues in South Africa the average score when they face the All Blacks is South Africa 18 New Zealand 18.

From those 44 test matches between the Springboks and All Blacks played in South Africa 11 of them were played at Ellis Park.

That gives the Springboks a record of winning 73% of their matches against the All Blacks at Ellis Park.

The average score when the Springboks play the All Blacks at Ellis Park is South Africa 23 New Zealand 19.

While the All Blacks have won the last three matches against the Springboks across all venues the Springboks have won the last two at Ellis Park. The last time New Zealand won at Ellis Park was in 1997.

The All Blacks will head to Ellis Park with some confidence though as the last two matches between them and South Africa in Johannesburg were both played in Soweto and the All Blacks won both of those.

In fact, the last time the Springboks beat the All Blacks in Johannesburg was almost 10 years ago as it was in 2004.

In terms of selection the All Blacks will be without Dan Carter again but they will have their captain back for this match as Richie McCaw returns from an injury he sustained playing against Argentina in Round 3.

Aaron Cruden fills in for Carter in the backline and McCaw's return is the only change to the line up that picked up a bonus point victory in Argentina last week.

The Springboks on the other hand have made two changes for this week with Bismarck du Plessis returning to the starting line up and Juandre Kruger comes in at lock for Flip van der Merwe who has been suspended for this week.

In recent times the All Blacks have had the edge of the Springboks and the last time South Africa beat New Zealand was in 2011 but that was a second string All Black team ahead of the Rugby World Cup.

Out of the last eight matches between the teams the only South African victory was the one in Port Elizabeth. In full strength vs strength matches the last Springbok victory over the All Blacks was in 2009.

The Bookies have given South Africa a 1 point start for this Match - with an offer of a FREE $150 BET. The All Blacks don't have a great record at Ellis Park but in recent clashes they have had the edge so we think they will just sneak home. New Zealand should win it by 2.

This Match will be shown on TV in NZ, Aus, SA and in the UK on Sky Sports 4/HD.

Average score: South Africa 15 New Zealand 19

Last five results
14 Sep 2013 SAF v NZL 15-29 Eden Park, Auckland
06 Oct 2012 SAF v NZL 16-32 Soweto, Johannesburg
15 Sep 2012 SAF v NZL 11-21 Otago Stadium, Dunedin
20 Aug 2011 SAF v NZL 18-5 N. Mandela Bay, Pt Elizabeth
30 Jul 2011 3 SAF v NZL 7-40 Westpac Trust, Wellington

South Africa's overall record against New Zealand
Played 86 ,Wins 34 ,Losses 49, Draws 3

Match No.11 :South Africa v New Zealand
Date : 5 Oct 2013
Venue : Ellis Park, Johannesburg, South Africa
Referee: Nigel Owens
Assistant Ref 1:John Lacey
Assistant Ref 2:Leighton Hodges
TMO : Graham Hughes

Teams

South Africa

15. Zane Kihner , 14. Willie le Roux , 13. JJ Engelbrecht / Jan Serfontein , 12. Jean de Villiers (c), 11. Bryan Habana , 10. Morne Steyn , 9. Fourie du Preez , 8. Duane Vermeulen , 7. Willem Alberts, 6. Francois Louw , 5. Juandre Kruger, 4. Eben Etzebeth, 3. Jannie du Plessis , 2. Bismak du Plessis, 1. Tendai Mtawarira

Replacements:16. Adriaan Strauss , 17. Gurthro Steenkamp , 18. Coenie Oosthuizen , 19. Franco van der Merwe, 20. Siya Kolisi , 21. Ruan Pienaar , 22. Pat Lambie , 23. Jan Serfontein / Juan de Jongh

New Zealand

15.Israel Dagg, 14.Ben Smith, 13.Conrad Smith, 12.Ma'a Nonu, 11.Julian Savea, 10.Aaron Cruden, 9.Aaron Smith, 8.Kieran Read, 7.Richie McCaw (c), 6.Liam Messam, 5.Sam Whitelock, 4.Brodie Retallick, 3.Charlie Faumuina, 2.Andrew Hore, 1.Tony Woodcock

Replacements: 16.Dane Coles, 17.Wyatt Crockett, 18.Ben Franks, 19.Steven Luatua, 20.Sam Cane, 21.Tawera Kerr.Barlow, 22.Beauden Barrett, 23.Charles Piutau.

 
 
Rugby Championship Standings
Nation Games Points    
P W L D PF PA PD BP Ttl
1. New Zealand 4 3 0 1 105 51 54 2 16
2. South Africa 4 2 2 0 79 75 4 2 10
3. Australia 4 2 1 1 88 111 -23 0 10
4. Argentina 4 0 4 0 71 106 -35 3 3
                     
Updated each Monday in order to verify with officials
 
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